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Wednesday, July 3, 2013

Philippine Public infrastructure spending up 36% to ₱106.4 Billion Php from January to May 2013

Public infrastructure spending continued its upward trend, rising to ₱106.4 billion from only ₱77.1 billion in the same period in 2012. This brings total disbursements to ₱751.2 billion. Photo: philSTAR

Philippine Public infrastructure spending grew 35.6 percent in the first five months of the year, reinforcing the government's commitment for sustained and inclusive economic growth.

The Department of Budget and Management reported that from January to May, infrastructure spending continued its upward trend, rising to 106.4 billion from only 77.1 billion in the same period in 2012.

This brings total disbursements to 751.2 billion as of May, up 12.4 percent from the previous year. Expenditures for this period also exceeded the 8.1-percent growth average for January-May disbursements since 2005.

"The implementation of program budgeting helped bring a more deliberate and strategic approach to spending, so that expenditures are closely aligned with President Aquino's campaign for long-term, inclusive growth," Budget and Management Secretary Florencio Abad said.

According to the World Bank, the Philippines needs to jack up its infrastructure spending  to provide that "fiscal spark that is still missing in the country's growth path" and to attract more foreign direct investments into the country.

Maintenance and other operating expenditures went up by 25.1 percent to 120.2 billion during the review period, mostly going to social welfare programs under the Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD), the Branding Campaign Program under the Department of Tourism (DOT), as well as expenses made to cover the 2013 National and Local Elections.

Abad said while disbursements under net lending fell, the decrease showed that the government was no longer covering for losses incurred by government-owned or controlled corporations.

He said the country's spending performance to date will act as a solid base for growth in the second semester of the year, as the government continues to ramp up spending.

"We are working actively with our Account Management Teams in key implementing agencies to sustain and further improve the pace of disbursements, as well as to eliminate expenditure bottlenecks that might prevent our agencies from making the most of their fund releases," Abad said.

Capital spending increased by 26.8 percent to 104.6 billion. More than half of the amount was used to cover the 60 billion in payments made by the DPWH to suppliers/contractors for various public infrastructure projects.

Other contributors to the increase are disbursements made for projects under the Department of Transportation and Communication as well as the construction of farm-to-market roads under the Department of Agriculture.

Personnel Services amounted to 237.7 billion, up 12.2 percent year on year largely due to the annualized salary adjustments as a result of the implementation of the Salary Standardization Law III, as well as claims for retirement gratuity and terminal leave benefits.

With report from philSTAR

Tuesday, July 2, 2013

Investors to still favor the Philippines; least vulnerable to any sort of macro crisis

The Philippines is expected to continue its upward trend economic growth as it is least vulnerable to any sort of macro crisis  which usually encountered by major economies - Investors to still favor the Philippines

THE PHILIPPINES, seen as an Asian economy least exposed to risk, is likely to be favored by investors once the US Federal Reserve starts unwinding a stimulus program, a Japanese investment bank said.

"When the Fed starts tapering its quantitative easing, the likely implication is increasing investor differentiation across Asia, with a preference for sustainable over fast growth," Nomura said in its Global Markets Research report.

Foreign investors have been taking money out of emerging markets -- earlier favored given better returns -- after the Fed said it could start dialing back a bond-buying program given likely US economic recovery.

In the Philippines, the peso and stock market fell to multi-month lows late last month but have since made up some ground.

"The Philippines and Taiwan seem among the least vulnerable to any sort of macro crisis," Nomura said, adding that in the former, "sustainable growth" and "structural reforms" provided a cushion.

The Philippine economy grew by 7.8% in the first quarter, beating market expectations and the government's 6-7% full-year goal.

Inflation settled at 3% as of May, at the low end of the central bank's 3-5% target. An "infrastructure investment-led model supported by remittances, business process outsourcing and electronics exports continues to be highly supportive of strong growth momentum, which looks to be set in motion for the next couple of year," the bank said of the country.

"With Standard & Poor's and Fitch Ratings having upgraded the sovereign to investment grade, we expect Moody's to follow in due course," Nomura added.

Countries tagged as "HIGH RISKS", meanwhile, were the following:

  • China,
  • Hong Kong
  • India.

Countries tagged as "MEDIUM RISKS" were the following:

  • Korea
  • Malaysia,
  • Singapore
  • Thailand

Countries tagged as "LOW RISK" were the following:

  • Philippines
  • Taiwan

The Philippines is least vulnerable to any sort of macro crisis.

"China's high debt, property prices and slowing potential growth, Hong Kong's debt, property prices and current account and India's current account deficit, property prices, inflation and slowing potential growth" placed the three in dangerous territory, Nomura said.

It said that once the Fed tapers its stimulus, countries with "either weak economic fundamentals or that are too slow in normalizing macro policies and implementing structural reforms could struggle to attract investment."

With report from Business World Online

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