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Wednesday, November 7, 2012

President Obama wins 2nd term: 'The best is yet to come' – US-Philippines as usual

U.S. President Barack Obama delivered a blistering victory speech to a cheering crowd of supporters in Chicago early Wednesday morning after winning another four years in the White House.

After walking on stage with his family to Stevie Wonder's "Signed, Sealed, Delivered," Obama waited for the crowd to finish chanting "four more years," before promising them that "the best is yet to come."

After trailing in both Electoral College votes and the popular vote to Republican challenger Mitt Romney, Obama surged ahead with victories in key battleground states of Ohio and Virginia to win the election.

He told supporters that, "Tonight, more than 200 years after a former colony won the right to determine its own destiny, the task of perfecting our union moves forward, it moves forward because of you."

Obama said the election result reflects "the belief that while each of us will pursue our own individual dreams, we are an American family and we rise and fall together as one nation and as one people."

Obama thanked campaign workers and voters, and praised the nation's teachers, soldiers, workers, and vowed not to squander the opportunity given to him to continue his work for a second term.

"I believe we can build on the progress we've made and continue to fight for new jobs and new opportunities and new security for the middle class," Obama said.

"I believe we can keep the promise of our founding, the idea that if you're willing to work hard, it doesn't matter who you are or where you come from or what you look like or where you love. It doesn't matter whether you're black or white or Hispanic or Asian or Native American or young or old or rich or poor, abled, disabled, gay or straight. You can make it here in America if you're willing to try."

Obama also touched on the divisiveness of the campaign, saying Americans "are not as divided as our politics suggests.

"We are not as cynical as the pundits believe. We are greater than the sum of our individual ambitions and we remain more than a collection of red states and blue states. We are, and forever will be, the United States of America."

The president thanked his wife, Michelle, his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, and also congratulated his opponent on "a hard-fought campaign."

Obama pulled ahead late after Romney was ahead in Electoral College votes for much of the night. Romney also had a slight edge in the popular vote, but even that lead eventually slipped away and Obama led by nearly a million votes.

Hours after polls closed, Virginia was finally declared for Obama early Wednesday, which gave Obama 303 electoral votes to Romney's 206.

In the U.S., the popular vote does not decide who wins the election. Rather, the winner of each state gets that state's Electoral College votes, and 270 are needed to win.

Romney emerged shortly before 1 a.m. Wednesday to address his supporters at his campaign's headquarters in Boston.

"I have just called President Obama to congratulate him on his victory," Romney said.

"His supporters and his campaign also deserve congratulations. I wish all of them well."

Romney also thanked his wife, Ann, and his running mate, Paul Ryan.

"I believe in America. I believe in the people of America," Romney said to cheers and applause from the crowd.

"Paul and I have left everything on the field...I so wish that I had been able to fulfill your hopes and lead the country in a different direction, but the nation chose another leader." 

Obama's headquarters in Chicago erupted in wild cheers after he was declared the winner shortly before 11:30 p.m. ET Tuesday.

"This happened because of you," Obama tweeted. "Thank you."

Prime Minister Stephen Harper issued a statement early Wednesday to "congratulate President Barack Obama's re-election as President of the United States of America."

U.S. President Barack Obama, first lady Michelle Obama, Vice President Joe Biden and Jill Biden wave at his election night party in Chicago, Wednesday, Nov. 7, 2012. (AP / Chris Carlson)

Harper said he is looking forward to working with Obama over the next four years on the economy, jobs and border security issues.

Obama will once again face the challenge of leading the country with a divided Congress, as Democrats retained control of the Senate and Republicans maintained their hold over the House of Representatives.

Indeed, Obama will be tasked with turning around a sluggish economy and reining in a national debt that tops $16 trillion and a budget deficit that has reached $1 trillion.

When it comes to the issue of most concern to voters, a national exit poll found that 59 per cent of voters believe the economy is the top issue facing the nation.

Tuesday's exit poll of more than 19,000 voters conducted by Edison Research for The Associated Press and the major U.S. networks also found that:

Just under four in 10 voters said unemployment was the biggest economic problem they are facing.

Four in 10 voters said the economy is improving, while 3 in 10 said it is getting worse.

As voters headed to the polls earlier Tuesday, long lines at polling stations and concerns that some residents affected by Hurricane Sandy would be left disenfranchised raised the spectre of a protracted court battle like the one that marred the 2000 vote.

More than 45 million voters had cast ballots before Election Day in early voting. However, voters in several states complained of long lineups, while others encountered technical glitches, including one voting machine in Pennsylvania that indicated a vote had been cast for Romney when the Obama button was pressed.

In other precincts, voters complained of robocalls giving them false voting information.

Romney Took Early Lead

As polls began closing at the dinner hour on the East Coast, Romney took a handful of states, including Kentucky and its eight electoral votes, followed by West Virginia, Indiana and South Carolina.

Obama was quickly declared the winner in Vermont, taking its three electoral votes, and sat there until nine states came through for him, including his home state of Illinois and its 20 electoral votes.

Unlike Obama, Romney lost his home state, with Massachusetts' 11 electoral votes going to the president.

Romney had been ahead for much of the evening, bolstered by wins in Texas, Arizona and North Carolina, the latter being the only battleground state the GOP candidate ended up winning.

However, results posted shortly before 10 p.m. ET gave Obama Pennsylvania and its 20 electoral votes, shortly after he won Michigan and its 16 electoral votes, as well as New York and its 29 votes and New Jersey's 14 votes. Romney took Texas as expected and its 38 electoral votes.

Romney attended a last-minute rally in Pennsylvania Tuesday afternoon in what turned out to be a fruitless bid to appeal to undecided voters in the state.

But hours after polls closed, a victor had yet to be declared in major battleground states such as Ohio, Virginia and Florida, which left the outcome unclear for some time. Of the big three battleground states, Florida had yet to be called early Wednesday.

Obama surged ahead with a victory in Colorado and Wisconsin, as well as California, Washington and Minnesota.

US and the Philippines as usual

America's pivot to Asia will continue as earlier planned by Obama Administration which means Americas' Arc protection to the Philippines with West Philippine (South China) Sea disputes as usual or going more and more better.

Several reasons why the selection of the American president should matter internationally, particularly in the Philippines:

Direction of foreign policy. Obama wins the election; the US will continue to view the Philippines as a "strategic ally" in the Pacific. The US ambassador to the country said. What may change though is how bellicose the US becomes. And that should matter to people around the world.

Obama has tried to dial back America's costly wars. He ended the Iraq war, one of the country's longest wars to date, and has been firm about the 2014 deadline for withdrawing troops from Afghanistan.

Outsourcing. The Fate for Outsourcing is in good hand? With America desperate to create more jobs at home, both men have tried to sound tough on outsourcing, the process of sending jobs abroad to countries with lower wages.

From the Philippine perspective, a shift in the policy of a country that supplies the majority of local outsourcing work would be worrisome. Outsourcing makes up about 5% of current economic growth and in 5 years' time the industry is projected to bring in more money for the country than the current economic lifeline of remittances.

Economy

Economic policy could be as ease. For one thing over the past year the Philippine economy has proven that it can power ahead largely sheltered from the economic slowdowns in Europe and the US. For another, economic experts are predicting that the American economy is due to expand regardless of who is elected.

A Bloomberg Businessweek article by Rich Miller and Steve Matthews pointed out that no matter who wins, the economy is "set for better times" since consumers are spending more, home prices are rising and banks are lending more.

Meanwhile, the Economist's "admittedly unscientific poll" of 312 researchers from the National Bureau of Economic Research and 51 forecasters at the National Association for Business Economics favored Obama's overall economic plan

In the end, everything is relative. And that's exactly the point. Since everything is a matter of where you stand, it is important to take your stand and vote. -

CTV News, AFP, Rappler 

Tuesday, November 6, 2012

Philippine Reserves another peak high- $82.1 Billion USD; Smoke, liquor tax up +₱32

Gross int'l reserves hit record high

The Philippines' gross international reserves (GIR) reached a new high of $82.093 billion last month, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) reported on Wednesday.

The end-October level marked a "modest increase" from $82.028 billion posted in the first nine months, BSP Deputy Governor Juan de Zuñiga said in a statement.

The latest GIR, which serves as buffer in times of external shocks, is well above BSP's 2012 forecast of $77.5-$78 billion, breached as early as July. BSP has said revised forecasts will be revealed this month.

"The modest increase in the end-October 2012 GIR level was due mainly to inflows from the foreign exchange operations and investment income of the BSP," De Zuñiga said.

"These inflows were offset, however, by foreign exchange outflows for the payments by the national government of its maturing foreign exchange obligations, as well as revaluation losses on the BSP's gold holdings resulting from the decrease in the price of gold in the international market," he explained.

Reserves are now good to cover 11.9 months worth of imports of good and payments of services and income, De Zuñiga said. They are also equivalent to 11.7 times the country's short-term external debt based on original maturity and 6.6 times based on residual maturity.

Bill eyes P45B from 'sin' tax

A SENATE committee yesterday unveiled a substitute "sin" tax bill calling for higher tax rates on cigarettes than those proposed by the House, with the revenue take expected to be larger at 40-45 billion.

           "Our version adopts that of the Lower House with added features... and amendments," Senate ways and means Acting Chairman Senator Franklin M. Drilon said in his sponsorship speech yesterday.

The earlier version sponsored last month by Senator Ralph G. Recto -- who quit as ways and means chairman after receiving criticism for supposedly watering down the bill -- was expected to generate only 14 billion.

House Bill (HB) No. 5727 scrapped the unitary rate proposed by the Finance department and set two tiers for tobacco and three for alcohol products, with standard increases every two years after a transition period beginning 2015. HB 5727 is expected to generate 30 billion in incremental revenues.

The National Internal Revenue Code has a four-tier classification for cigarettes and three for fermented liquor and distilled spirits.

Mr. Drilon said the scheme will raise 40-45 billion in incremental revenues on the first year -- 26.87 billion from tobacco products, 7.17 billion from distilled spirits, and 12.5 billion from fermented liquor.

The new bill states that "on Jan. 1, 2016, all cigarettes will have a unitary tax rate of 32.00."

Before that, rates for cigarettes packed by hand will go up to 12.00 per pack on Jan. 1, 2013, 22.00 on Jan. 1, 2014, and 28.00 on Jan. 1, 2015, from the current 7.56.

The House version proposes only two tiers beginning January 2013, with an 8% increase every two years after the transition period, or from 2015 to 2025.

For cigarettes packed by machine, Mr. Recto proposed three tiers for the period March 2013 to 2019, with an 8% increment every two years. The tiers were supposed to be reduced to two by 2020 with an adjustment of 4% every two years thereafter.

"We also wish to introduce amendments to the excise tax provisions governing distilled spirits so that our laws would conform to our WTO (World Trade Organization) obligations. Under our version, we propose a mixed rate of P30 plus 30% of the net retail price (NRP)," Mr. Drilon said.

For distilled spirits, the House version proposed three tiers with specific rates while the substitute bill is a combination of specific and ad valorem rates. The Recto version maintained four tiers, with a two-step increase in rates based on proof per liter on March 1, 2013 and on Feb. 28, 2015.

"With respect to fermented liquor or beer, we shall be introducing a two-tier system with the products whose NRP do not exceed 22 taxed at 20. For those whose NRP exceed 22, the same shall be taxed at 25," Mr. Drilon said.

The House version proposed the same number of tiers but the NRP was set at 50.60 and below and 50.60 and above. Mr. Recto proposed two tiers during the transition period beginning March 2013, with an 8% increase every two years from 2015 to 2019 and 4% beginning March 1, 2020.

President Benigno S. C. Aquino III was amenable to lowering the take to P40 billion from the original Palace proposal of P60 billion.

"At 40 (billion), we're happy. At 60 (billion), we'll be happier. For 40 (billion) is already, I think, sufficient to meet the objectives both in terms of gaining more resources, managing the deficit but most importantly addressing the health issues," he said at the sidelines of the Asia-Europe meeting in Laos.

Philstar, BusinessWorld Online

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